Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.004513 1.145824 1.299698 1.479677 1.684416 1.910087 2.177737
2025-02-16 0.788577 0.982328 1.212146 1.504790 1.867586 2.302731 2.864651
2025-02-23 0.646201 0.856132 1.120483 1.477697 1.947939 2.546188 3.365947
2025-03-02 0.552545 0.769946 1.057432 1.465261 2.029144 2.781905 3.864617
2025-03-09 0.487893 0.710275 1.017089 1.471066 2.126018 3.037547 4.404790
2025-03-16 0.436408 0.660749 0.982252 1.476266 2.216633 3.286176 4.951798
2025-03-23 0.396597 0.622402 0.957438 1.490312 2.317167 3.552990 5.544640
2025-03-30 0.352171 0.571422 0.907398 1.459169 2.343436 3.707466 5.976754
2025-04-06 0.314537 0.526556 0.861418 1.428119 2.364178 3.851404 6.400372
2025-04-13 0.278684 0.480527 0.808554 1.379666 2.350336 3.936192 6.731662
2025-04-20 0.271325 0.481021 0.831082 1.457033 2.549836 4.382637 7.699802
2025-04-27 0.263568 0.479824 0.850204 1.529554 2.746315 4.838629 8.721940
2025-05-04 0.252850 0.472764 0.859241 1.586501 2.923025 5.279726 9.765762
2025-05-11 0.238069 0.456895 0.851269 1.612189 3.046163 5.637467 10.693386
2025-05-18 0.217162 0.427422 0.815695 1.583188 3.065108 5.807245 11.286602
2025-05-25 0.200568 0.404475 0.789950 1.569869 3.111407 6.029624 11.996214
2025-06-01 0.188047 0.388209 0.775246 1.576086 3.195007 6.327673 12.875757
2025-06-08 0.176602 0.372955 0.761026 1.581655 3.277154 6.628442 13.784970
2025-06-15 0.167175 0.360909 0.752019 1.596698 3.379176 6.975677 14.816737
2025-06-22 0.153694 0.339039 0.721069 1.563345 3.377908 7.113635 15.425102
2025-06-29 0.141471 0.318706 0.691493 1.530091 3.373515 7.243837 16.026534
2025-07-06 0.128704 0.295977 0.654849 1.478198 3.324150 7.274859 16.414863
2025-07-13 0.128334 0.300992 0.678500 1.561057 3.577392 7.972570 18.330246